Developing a Classifier for the Foreign Trade Efficiency of Russia and China: Scientific and Methodological Aspects

Authors

  • Maria Alexandrovna Shapor Institute of China and Modern Asia, Russian Academy of Sciences; Financial University of the Russian Federation
  • Roman Aleksandrovich Plaksii Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.64545/2072-8042-2026-3-34-42

Keywords:

trade resilience, classifier, sanctions pressure, foreign trade, factor analysis, multiplicative model, economic resilience, comparative analysis, Russia, China

Abstract

The article presents the Integrated Multilevel Trade Resilience Classifier (IMTRC) for assessing foreign trade efficiency under sanctions pressure. The methodology synthesizes economic resilience theory and global trade network analysis. The classifier includes five levels: structural adaptability, financial resilience, technological complexity, logistics efficiency, and institutional sustainability. A multiplicative model links the baseline component with a dynamic multiplier. The empirical testing of the tool was conducted using data from Russia and China for 2015–2024. Validation confirms a correlation with expert assessments at r = 0.891 and R² = 0.783.

Author Biographies

Maria Alexandrovna Shapor, Institute of China and Modern Asia, Russian Academy of Sciences; Financial University of the Russian Federation

Candidate of Sciences in Economics,

Institute of China and Modern Asia, Russian Academy of Sciences (ICSA RAS) (32 Nakhimovsky pr-t, Moscow Russia 117997) - Senior Researcher, Center for Socio-Economic Research;

Financial University of the Russian Federation - Associate Professor, Department of International Business, SPIN: 3792-0883

Roman Aleksandrovich Plaksii, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

2nd year Postgraduate Student,
SPIN: 8740-6327

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Published

2026-06-24

How to Cite

Shapor, M. A., & Plaksii, R. A. (2026). Developing a Classifier for the Foreign Trade Efficiency of Russia and China: Scientific and Methodological Aspects . Russian Foreign Economic Journal, (3), 34–42. https://doi.org/10.64545/2072-8042-2026-3-34-42

Issue

No. 3 (2026)

Section

Foreign trade activity

License

Copyright (c) 2026 Russian Foreign Economic Journal

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