Foreign Trade of Russia amid and after the Pandemic

Authors

  • Vladimir Petrovich Obolensky Institute of Economics Russian Academy of Science

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24412.2072-8042-2020-10097

Keywords:

pandemic, world trade, Russia’s foreign trade, dynamics of exports and imports, forecast, constraining factors

Abstract

Estimates of the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on global trade and foreign trade of Russia are given. The article analyzes the quarterly changes in Russia’s exports and imports of goods and services and demonstrates rather quick recovery in the second half of 2020 after the plunge in April-June 2020. Attention is drawn to the fact that the tumbling exports resulted in almost a twofold decrease in the current account surplus and the decline in foreign exchange earnings and weaker rouble, which may affect adversely the imports of raw materials and components. Prospects for meeting the state foreign trade estimates for the next three years that might be constrained by both the impact of the pandemic on the domestic economy and external factors - volatility of world prices, the on-going escalation of protectionism and trade wars, sanctions of Western countries against Russia – are assessed.

Author Biography

Vladimir Petrovich Obolensky, Institute of Economics Russian Academy of Science

Doctor of Economic Sciences
Place of work, post: Institute of Economics Russian Academy of Science (32, Nakhimovskii prosp., 117218, Moscow) – Principal Researcher

Published

2024-02-07

How to Cite

Obolensky, V. P. (2024). Foreign Trade of Russia amid and after the Pandemic. Russian Foreign Economic Journal, (10), 7–17. https://doi.org/10.24412.2072-8042-2020-10097

Issue

Section

Foreign trade

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