Challenges to Sustainability of Global Export Development amid Economic Fragmentation

Abstract

The article presents a comprehensive analysis of the challenges to ensuring the sustainability of global exports amid increasing fragmentation of the world economy. The study employs a systematic approach that combines an analysis of statistical data from international organizations, original calculations of export diversification and concentration indicators, and a comparative analysis of adaptation strategies adopted by different countries. The scientific novelty of the research lies in the development of a comprehensive methodology for evaluating the resilience of export flows, incorporating both traditional economic indicators and new parameters related to logistical resilience and geo-economic risks. The practical significance of the study is reflected in the formulated policy recommendations for national governments and corporations aimed at increasing the sustainability of export models amid the structural transformation of the world trade system.